Arthur Hayes Predicts Bitcoin Peak in March 2025, But Warns of
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- BTC may face challenges at the end of Q1 due to restricted liquidity in the US.
- The US debt ceiling discussions may introduce further volatility in January.
Bitcoin [BTC], along with the broader crypto market, might align with the 2024 trend and peak around March before experiencing a significant correction phase.
As per Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX and CIO at crypto VC Maelstrom, he anticipates that a local peak will occur in March influenced by both ongoing Federal Reserve quantitative tightening (QT) measures and the tax season commencing in early April.
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>`US Debt Ceiling Concerns`
`A significant risk highlighted by Hayes is the looming US debt ceiling currently set at $31.5 trillion until Congress decides otherwise. p >
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An upward revision could allow additional borrowing by the US Treasury, leading to greater market liquidity drain.
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`”Once default seems unavoidable, last-minute agreements are likely that would raise this limit allowing for net borrowing on behalf of Treasuries again thus replenishing TGA impacting dollar liquidity negatively.”`
“>Typed-comment/>Opening of Tax Season
`The tax season beginning from April 15 adds further complexity to money flow within markets and can potentially alter risky asset performance,” Hayes cautioned.”
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